New Publication: Assessing Pathways of Climate Change Effects in SpaDES: An Application to Boreal Landbirds of Northwest Territories Canada
The distributions of birds in Canada's northern forests are expected to be impacted by climate change, but it remains unclear which pathways are responsible for projected climate effects. This new paper, led by Tatiane Micheletti developed statistical and simulation models for boreal birds, wildfire, and forest growth using the SpaDES modelling framework. Point count data for bird models came from the BAM database and was supplemented by ARU data from WildTrax. The results demonstrate that most of the predicted changes in bird distributions were due to direct climate effects. Read more...
CITATION
Micheletti Tatiane, Stewart Frances E. C., Cumming Steven G., Haché Samuel, Stralberg Diana, Tremblay Junior A., Barros Ceres, Eddy Ian M. S., Chubaty Alex M., Leblond Mathieu, Pankratz Rhiannon F., Mahon C. L., Van Wilgenburg Steven L., Bayne Erin M., Schmiegelow Fiona, McIntire Eliot J. B. 2021. Assessing Pathways of Climate Change Effects in SpaDES: An Application to Boreal Landbirds of Northwest Territories Canada. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. 9, 654. https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2021.679673
We developed statistical and simulation models for boreal birds, wildfire, and forest growth using the SpaDES modelling framework. Data for bird models came from @borealbirds and @ABbiodiversity’s https://t.co/2yquEo7FTA 3/7 pic.twitter.com/JGxFzVTHrB
— BAM Project (@borealbirds) October 4, 2021
The biggest losers were White-winged Crossbill, Boreal Chickadee, Lincoln’s Sparrow, Fox Sparrow, American Tree Sparrow and Horned Lark. These species had the largest projected losses in habitat. 5/7 pic.twitter.com/uTCHhO7LtM
— BAM Project (@borealbirds) October 4, 2021
This study is part of a continuously improving process to forecast the impacts of #climatechange. Stay tuned for more! #boreal #ornithology #SpaDES 7/7
— BAM Project (@borealbirds) October 4, 2021